As China rises to global power status, its relations with other major powers, including Russia, are constantly renegotiated. Energy figures prominently in both countries' foreign policy. An extensive analysis of Chinese language sources - academic debate 1997-2012 - confirms a collision of interests over Central Asian reserves. While unanimous appeals to compromise render previous predictions of impending confrontation unconvincing, descriptions of Sino-Central Asian energy relations as "central to energy security", and the explicit rejection of a Russian "sphere of influence", also exclude a retreat. In the long term, China will likely replace Russia as the dominant force in Central Asia's energy sector, causing the Kremlin to perceive another "encroachment". The current notion of a "strategic partnership" will inevitably be challenged.

Autorentext

Thomas Stephan Eder, LLB LLM BA MA is Research Assistant at the Hong Kong University Law School and PhD Candidate in International Law at the University of Vienna Law School, Austria.

Inhalt
Historico-Political Contextualization.- Sino-Russian Energy Relations 1991-2011.- Neoclassical Realist-Perception Theory Model of Analysis.- Chinese Academic Discourse 1997-2012.