This is a brand new edition of an essential work on Bayesian networks and decision graphs. It is an introduction to probabilistic graphical models including Bayesian networks and influence diagrams. The reader is guided through the two types of frameworks with examples and exercises, which also give instruction on how to build these models. Structured in two parts, the first section focuses on probabilistic graphical models, while the second part deals with decision graphs, and in addition to the frameworks described in the previous edition, also introduces Markov decision process. The new edition also includes a thorough description of recent extensions to the Bayesian network modeling language, advances in exact and approximate belief updating algorithms, and methods for learning both the structure and the parameters of a Bayesian network.

Inhalt

Causal and Bayesian Networks * Part I: A Practical Guide to Normative Systems: Building Models * Learning, Adaptation, and Tuning * Decision Graphs * Part II: Algorithms for Normative Systems: Belief Updating in Bayesian Networks * Bayesian Network Analysis Tools * Algorithms for Influence Diagrams