The use of land changes over time as both natural and man-made environments are influenced by the pressures associated with the processes of development. The demand for land for new residential housing has been a huge challenge for governments striving to protect greenfield sites across Europe in recent years, whilst regeneration has been a common response to the decline of manufacturing in the old industrial heartlands. The variety of forces that drive change in the use of land are extensive and complex, including spatial planning policies designed at local, regional, national and supra-national levels.

In order to understand the mechanisms of change and the impact of policies, the formulation, calibration and testing of models is required. Land-use change models help us to understand the complexities and interdependencies of the components that constitute spatial systems and can provide valuable insights into possible land-use configurations in the future. Models of land-use change incorporate a vast amount of knowledge from a wide range of disciplines. Geography contributes to the understanding of land-use change whilst demography and economics help explain underlying trends. Model building relies heavily on mathematics and (geographical) information systems, but also includes many elements from the softer sciences, such as management studies and environmental science. This book offers a cross-sectional overview of current research progress that allows the construction of successful land-use models. The contributions range from methodology and calibration to actual applications in studies of recent policy implementation and evaluation. The contributors originate from academic and applied research institutes around the world and thus offer an interesting mix of theory and practice in different case study contexts.

This volume is an indispensable guide for anyone interested in the state-of-the-art of land-use modelling, its background and its application. In summary, land-use change simulation modelling is a relatively new and dynamic field of study and this book provides a full overview of the topic, a wide range of applications (both geographically and thematically), a mix of theory and practice, a synthesis of recent research progress, and educational material for students and teachers.

Zusammenfassung

Models of land-use change incorporate a vast amount of knowledge from a wide range of disciplines. Geography contributes to the understanding of land-use change whilst demography and economics help explain underlying trends. This book offers a cross-sectional overview of current research progress that allows the construction of successful land-use models. The contributions range from methodology and calibration to actual applications in studies of recent policy implementation and evaluation. The contributors originate from academic and applied research institutes around the world and thus offer an interesting mix of theory and practice in different case study contexts. In summary, land-use change simulation modelling is a relatively new and dynamic field of study and this book provides a full overview of the topic, a wide range of applications (both geographically and thematically), a mix of theory and practice, a synthesis of recent research progress, and educational material for students and teachers.

Inhalt
Modelling land-use change.- Modelling Land-Use Change.- Analysis of land-use trends and their driving forces.- Land-Use Change at Cadastral Parcel Level in Albania.- Driving Forces of Landscape Change in The Urbanizing Limmat Valley, Switzerland.- Landscape Changes in the Israeli Carmel Area.- New Land-Use Development Processes Associated with the Acceleration of Urbanisation in China.- Explanatory models of land-use change.- Driving Forces of Land-Use Change in a Cultural Landscape of Spain.- Empirically Derived Probability Maps to Downscale Aggregated Land-Use Data.- A Spatial Interaction Model for Agricultural Uses.- Optimisation modelling.- Spatial Optimisation in Land-Use Allocation Problems.- Sustainable Land-Use and Water Management in Mountain Ecosystems.- Geneticland: Modelling Land-Use Change Using Evolutionary Algorithms.- Incorporation of new modelling approaches.- Microsimulation of Metropolitan Employment Deconcentration.- Simulation of Polycentric Urban Growth Dynamics Through Agents.- Puma: Multi-Agent Modelling of Urban Systems.- Integrating Cellular Automata and Regional Dynamics Using Gis.- Operational land-use simulation models.- A Land-Use Modelling System for Environmental Impact Assessment.- The Moland Modelling Framework for Urban and Regional Land-Use Dynamics.- Dynamic Simulation of Land-Use Change Trajectories with the Clue-S Model.- Land-use simulation for policy analysis.- Beyond Growth? Decline of The Urban Fabric In Eastern Germany.- Land-Use Simulation For Water Management.- Gis-Based Modelling of Land-Use Systems.