"Daigle's, Neulen's, and Hofeman's comparative analysis of the 2017 elections in Germany, Britain, and France puts populism in a broader perspective. The breadth of their public opinion data and the leverage of their comparative design allows them to scrutinize systematically some popular explanations for the rise of right-wing populism. This could hardly be more timely."

-Christopher Cochrane, Associate Professor, University of Toronto, Canada

"This gem of a book is a high-quality investigation into a pressing phenomenon in economically-advanced democracies: the success of the extreme right in France, Great Britain and Germany."

-Delia Dumitrescu, Lecturer in Media and Cultural Politics, University of East Anglia, UK

This project offers an in-depth look at the three 2017 elections held in Western Europe: France, Germany, and the UK. With events like Brexit and a general rise in right-wing populism across highly industrialized nations, understanding the underlying causes of increasingly extreme electoral behavior is both valuable and prescient. A highly theoretically-focused and current project, it provides a consistent methodological and analytic approach that uses election study data and primary sources to offer a complete and cogent picture of this complex phenomenon as can only found by examining the attitudes and behaviors of the most powerful of democratic participants: the voters.

Autorentext

Delton T. Daigle is an Assistant Professor at George Mason University, USA.

Joséphine Neulen is a graduate student at George Mason University, USA. 

Austin Hofeman is a doctoral candidate at George Mason University, USA.

Zusammenfassung

This project offers an in-depth look at the three 2017 elections held in Western Europe: France, Germany, and the UK. With events like Brexit and a general rise in right-wing populism across highly industrialized nations, understanding the underlying causes of increasingly extreme electoral behavior is both valuable and prescient. A highly theoretically-focused and current project, it provides a consistent methodological and analytic approach that uses election study data and primary sources to offer a complete and cogent picture of this complex phenomenon as can only found by examining the attitudes and behaviors of the most powerful of democratic participants: the voters.

Inhalt

Table of Contents

1 Introduction

1.1 Introduction

1.2 References

2 Literature Review

2.1 Economic Threat 2.2 Nativism

2.3 Populism

2.4 References

  3 Methods

3.1 The CSES, and the BES, GLES, and FES of 2017

3.2 The Dependent Variable

3.3 The Independent Variables

3.4 Modelling Strategies

3.5 Hypotheses

3.6 References

4 France 2017

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Institutional Context and Background to French Elections

4.3 2017 French Presidential Election Narrative

4.4 Discussion 4.5 References

5 Great Britain 2017

5.1 Introduction 5.2 The British Institutional Context

5.3 Background Narrative to the 2017 U.K. General Election

5.4 Discussion

5.5 References

6 Germany 2017

6.1 Introduction

6.2 The German Institutional Context

6.3 German 2017 Bundestag Election Narrative

6.4 Discussion

6.5 References

7 Comparing across the 2017 Elections in Britain,  France and Germany

7.1 Introduction

7.2 Anti-Immigrant Sentiment Comparison 7.3 Right-Wing Vote Comparisons

7.4 Discussion and Conclusions

8 Discussion / Conclusion

8.1 Discussion

9 Appendices

9.1 Appendix A - Recoding and Univariate Tables

9.1.1 Right Wing Voting

9.1.2 Anti-Immigrant Sentiment

9.1.3 Populism

9.1.4 Nativism

9.1.5 Education

9.1.6 Prospective Egocentric Situation

9.1.7 Unemployment 9.1.8 Subjective Working Class

9.1.9 Other Variables

9.2 Appendix B - Comparative Model Estimated First Differences

9.2.1 Anti-Immigrant Sentiment

9.2.2 Right-wing Voting

10 Index