Peace through Self-Determination

Bringing together comparative politics, conflict research and social psychology, this book presents a novel theory to explain the consolidation outcomes of post-conflict autonomy arrangements. It builds on Social Identity Theory and identifies a successful process of ethnic recognition as the key prerequisite for peaceful interethnic cohabitation through territorial self-governance. As this process is highly context-dependent, the study identifies relevant structural and actor-centered factors and analyzes their occurrence in the consolidation periods of nineteen autonomy arrangements worldwide using Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA). The author concludes that elites accept autonomy reforms if they promise a high degree of self-determination and, at the same time, ethnic recognition is not hindered by horizontal inequalities. Bargaining efforts succeed within inclusive institutions involving non-nationalist parties and international organizations. Autonomy reforms fail if thedegree of self-rule offered is too low and strong inequalities generate new grievances. Autocratic rule, nationalist parties, and a lack of international attention provide a breeding ground for further centrifugal activities. In-depth case studies on South Tyrol and the Chittagong Hill Tracts provide further evidence for the theoretical models. Felix Schulte is a lecturer in the Institute of Political Science at Heidelberg University, Germany.

Auteur
Felix Schulte is a lecturer in the Institute of Political Science at Heidelberg University, Germany.

Contenu

1. Ethnic Conflict Regulation through Territorial Autonomy1.1.Setting the Context: Ethnic Self-Determination Conflicts1.2.Managing Institutions: Sharing or Dividing Power1.3.Conceptualizing territorial autonomy1.4.Identifying cases of post-conflict autonomy1.5.Conclusion
   2.Explaining Autonomy Success and Failure: An Identity-based Approach2.1.Measuring Autonomy Success and Failure2.2.Understanding ethnic recognition2.3.A multi-causal model of Autonomy Success and Failure2.4.Identifying favorable and unfavorable conditions2.5.Conclusion
   3.A Set-Theoretical Analysis of Autonomy Success and Failure3.1. Operationalization and Calibration3.2.Empirical Analysis3.3.Robustness
   4.The Causal Mechanisms behind Autonomy Success and Failure4.1.Autonomy Success: The case of South Tyrol4.2.Autonomy Failure: The case of Chittagong Hill Tracts4.3.Summary
   5.Conclusion: Increasing the Chances of Autonomy Success
   6.Technical Appendix