Reckoning with Risk

Gerd Gigerenzer liefert mit seinem Buch einen Leitfaden, wie man mit den Unwägbarkeiten des Lebens zurechtkommt, wie man Statistiken auswertet und lernt, wichtige Entscheidungen zu treffen.

Informationen zum Autor Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Centre for Adaptive Behaviour and Cognition (ABC) at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and a former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. Klappentext Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Centre for Adaptive Behaviour and Cognition (ABC) at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin and a former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. Zusammenfassung However much we want certainty in our lives, it feels as if we live in an uncertain and dangerous world. But are we guilty of exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are we misled by our ignorance of the reality of risk? This title illustrates how we can learn to make sense of statistics and turn ignorance into insight. Inhaltsverzeichnis Part I Dare to know: uncertainty; the illusion of certainty; innumeracy; insight. Part II Understanding uncertainties in the real world: breast cancer screening; (un)informed consent; AIDS counselling; wife battering; experts on trial; DNA fingerprinting; violent people. Part III From innumeracy to insight: how innumeracy can be exploited; fun problems; teaching clear thinking.

Résumé
However much we want certainty in our lives, it feels as if we live in an uncertain and dangerous world. But are we guilty of exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are we misled by our ignorance of the reality of risk? This title illustrates how we can learn to make sense of statistics and turn ignorance into insight.

Contenu

Part I Dare to know: uncertainty; the illusion of certainty; innumeracy; insight. Part II Understanding uncertainties in the real world: breast cancer screening; (un)informed consent; AIDS counselling; wife battering; experts on trial; DNA fingerprinting; violent people. Part III From innumeracy to insight: how innumeracy can be exploited; fun problems; teaching clear thinking.