Presents an approach to characterizing the interdependencies of multivariate time series by means of the basic concept of the one-way effect

Shows how the third-series effect is eliminated with least causal distortion, introducing partial measures of the one-way effect, reciprocity, and association

Illustrates the proposed causal characterization by means of empirical applications to real data sets of the US macroeconomy and Japan's financial economy

Autorentext
Yuzo Hosoya, Professor Emeritus, Tohoku University
Kosuke Oya, Osaka University
Taro Takimoto, Kyushu University
Ryo Kinoshita, Tokyo Keizai University

Inhalt
1: Introduction to statistical causal analysis.- 2: Measures of one-way effect, reciprocity and association.- 3: Partial measures of interdependence.- 4: Inference based on the vector autoregressive and moving average model.- 5: Inference on change in causality measures.- 6: Simulation performance of estimation methods.- 7: Empirical analysis of macroeconomic series.- 8: Empirical analysis of change in causality measures.- 9: Conclusion.- Appendix.- References.- Index.