Klappentext In the 18th century! the British minister and mathematician Thomas Bayes devised a theorem that allowed him to assign probabilities to events that had never happened before. Incredibly! this theorem can also be used to lay odds on the biggest questions facing humanity including the biggest one of all: how long will the human race survive?

Autorentext
William Poundstone is the author of sixteen books, including Head in the Cloud, Rock Breaks Scissors, Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?, How Would You Move Mount Fuji?, and Fortune's Formula. He has written for The Believer, The Economist, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Esquire, Harper's, Harvard Business Review, the New York Times op-ed page and Book Review, Village Voice, and many other publications. He won the 2011 Excellence in Financial Journalism Award.

Klappentext

In the 18th century, the British minister and mathematician Thomas Bayes devised a theorem that allowed him to assign probabilities to events that had never happened before. Incredibly, this theorem can also be used to lay odds on the biggest questions facing humanity including the biggest one of all: how long will the human race survive?

Zusammenfassung
"A very interesting and definitive book on this subject." -J. Richard Gott III