Autorentext
Roland W. Scholz chairs the Natural and Social Science Interface in the Department of Environmental Sciences at the ETH (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology), Zürich. A mathematician, psychologist and decision theorist by training, he is particularly interested in environmental systems analysis, human-environment interactions, environmental decisions and risk assessment. He has led numerous large-scale transdisciplinary processes to foster sustainable transitions of urban and regional systems.

Inhalt
Toward an Understanding of Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty.- I.- The 'Base-Rate Fallacy' Heuristics and/or the Modeling of Judgmental Biases by Information Weights.- A Conceptualization of the Multitude of Strategies in Base-Rate Problems.- Modes of Thought and Problem Framing in the Stochastic Thinking of Students and Experts (Sophisticated Decision Makers).- II.- Stochastic Thinking, Modes of Thought, and A Framework for the Process and Structure of Human Information Processing.