This book deals with the science of science by applying network science methods to citation networks and uniquely presents a physics-inspired model of citation dynamics. This stochastic model of citation dynamics is based on a well-known copying or recursive search mechanism. The measurements covered in this text yield parameters of the model and reveal that citation dynamics of scientific papers is not linear, as was previously assumed. This nonlinearity has far-reaching consequences including non-stationary citation distributions, diverging citation trajectories of similar papers, and runaways or "immortal papers" with an infinite citation lifespan. The author shows us that nonlinear stochastic models of citation dynamics can be the basis for a quantitative probabilistic prediction of citation dynamics of individual papers and of the overall journal impact factor. This book appeals to students and researchers from differing subject areas working in network science and bibliometrics.

Presents a working, fully calibrated model of citation dynamics that is ready to use Offers a quantitative example of how concepts developed in the field of complex networks help to solve the real-life problem of modeling the citation dynamics of papers Demystifies the origin of the power-law statistical distribution of citations

Autorentext

Michael Golosovsky is an experimental physicist and he has been doing research and teaching physics in the Hebrew University of Jerusalem since 1988. He published more than 100 papers in the peer-reviewed journals in the fields of solid state physics, biophysics, and complex networks. During last decade he focused his attention on citation networks and brought to this interdisciplinary field his expertise in planning and performing measurements. Basing on these measurements, he succeeded in building a physical, data-based model of citation dynamics.

Inhalt
Chapter1: Introduction.- Chapter2: Complex network of scientific papers.- Chapter3: Stochastic modeling of references and citations.- Chapter4: Citation dynamics of individual papers -model calibration.- Chapter5: Model validation.- Chapter6: Comparison of citation dynamics for different disciplines.- Chapter7: Prediction of citation dynamics of individual papers.- Chapter8: Power-law citation distributions are not scale-free.- Chapter9: Comparison to existing models