Provides wide-ranging and thorough examples and explanations of how and why bubbles and crashes have historically developed and are tied to money, credit, trust, psychology, risk preferences, behavioral and structural aspects, and social mood

Covers the role of central banks and the relationship to commercial lending

Presents a new descriptive theory and practical empirical approach to the measurement, analysis, and prediction of extreme financial market conditions

Serves as a handy scholarly reference for further studies via extensive surveys of previous academic research and history and updates through the 2020 virus-related crash and remarkable rebound

Autorentext

Harold (Hal) L. Vogel was the senior entertainment industry analyst at Merrill Lynch and inducted into Institutional Investor magazine's All-America Research Team Hall of Fame in 2011. Holder of a PhD in financial economics, he is also a chartered financial analyst (C.F.A.) and served as an adjunct professor at Columbia University's Graduate School of Business. His books include Entertainment Industry Economics: A Guide for Financial Analysis (10th edition 2020) and Travel Industry Economics: A Guide for Financial Analysis (4th edition 2021). He currently heads an independent investment and consulting firm in New York City.

Inhalt

1. Introduction.- 2. Bubble Stories.- 3. Crash Stories .- 4. Money and Credit Features.- 5. Random Walks.- 6. Rationality Rules.- 7. Behavioral Beats.- 8. Bubble Dynamics.- 9. Behavioral Risk Features.- 10. Estimating and Forecasting.- 11. Financial Asset Bubble Theory.