This edited volume provides a survey of the epidemiology of elderly populations. It is intended to present a comprehensive discussion of all aspects of the subject, including modelling the incidence of chronic diseases in the elderly, the different perspectives of actuarial and health care statistics, and assessing the impact of new technologies on the elderly populations.

Zusammenfassung
"...presents several challenges to the reader in that it covers a wide variety of topics in varying amounts of detail...References to the literature in all the related fields are extensive and up to date...In summary, this book is a worthwhile addition to the literature on aging research." (Journal of the American Statistical Association)

Inhalt
One. Introduction.- 1 The Scientific and Policy Needs for Improved Health Forecasting Models for Elderly Populations.- Two. Methodological Issues.- 2 Actuarial and Demographic Forecasting Methods.- 3 Demographic Change in the United States, 19702050.- 4 Health Forecasting and Models of Aging.- Three. Forecasting Techniques for Specific Diseases.- 5 Cancer Forecasting: Cohort Models of Disease Progression and Mortality.- 6 The Effects of Risk Factors on Male and Female Cardiovascular Risks in Middle and Late Age.- 7 Frailty and Forecasts of Active Life Expectancy in the United States.- 8 Risk Factors Affecting Multiple-Disease Efficacy and Effectiveness of Intervention Programs.- Four. Effects of Interventions on Health Costs.- 9 Estimates and Projections of Dementia-Related Service Expenditures.- 10 A Forecasting Model for the Assessment of Medical Technologies: End-Stage Renal Disease.- 11 Projections of the Aged Supplementary Security Income Population: The Implications of Uncertainty.- 12 Evaluation of Long-Term Care: Estimation of Health Transitions in Frail Populations.- 13 Financing and Use of Long-Term Care for the Elderly.- Five. Longitudinal Research: Current Status and Future Outlook.- 14 Molecular Biological Approaches to Understanding Aging and Senescence.- 15 Biomedical Research and Changing Concepts of Disease and Aging: Implications for Long-Term Health Forecasts for Elderly Populations.