In a Second Edition offering six new sections, new examples, tables, figures and more, this book shows how to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. Includes more than 140 examples.

Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented for knowledge elicitation, model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Comprehensive introduction to understand, construct, and analyze probabilistic networks Second Edition features six new sections covering such topics as structure learning and parameter tuning New appendix offers recommendations and solutions to common problems associated with model building Written specifically for practitioners of applied artificial intelligence

Autorentext
Uffe B. Kjærulff holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University. Anders L. Madsen of HUGIN EXPERT A/S holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Adjunct Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University.

Zusammenfassung
The techniques and methods presented for knowledge elicitation, model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Inhalt
Introduction.- Networks.- Probabilities.- Probabilistic Networks.- Solving Probabilistic Networks.- Eliciting the Model.- Modeling Techniques.- Data-Driven Modeling.- Conflict Analysis.- Sensitivity Analysis.- Value of Information Analysis.- Quick Reference to Model Construction.- List of Examples.- List of Figures.- List of Tables.- List of Symbols.- References.- Index.