Informationen zum Autor Allan J. Lichtman teaches history at American University in Washington, D.C. He is a regular political analyst for CNN Headline News and also provides political commentary for national networks and newspapers. He is the author of White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement. He has published more than one hundred scholarly and popular articles that have appeared in such journals and newspapers as the American Historical Review, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, New Republic, Washington Monthly, New York Times, Washington Post, Christian Science Monitor, and Los Angeles Times. Klappentext With The Keys to the White House, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860-including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection-Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book. Zusammenfassung Prominent political analyst and historian Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors! or 'keys' that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. Read this book not only for a surprising look at the electoral process! but also for tips on calling the election in 2008. Inhaltsverzeichnis Chapter 1 Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work Chapter 2 Turning the Keys to the Presidency Chapter 3 Civil War and Reconstruction Chapter 4 The Gilded Age Chapter 5 Rise and Fall of Progressivism Chapter 6 Depression, War, and Cold War Chapter 7 New Directions, War, and Scandal Chapter 8 The Reagan Revolution Chapter 9 A False Dawn for Democrats Chapter 10 Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics ...

Autorentext
Allan J. Lichtman teaches history at American University in Washington, D.C. He is a regular political analyst for CNN Headline News and also provides political commentary for national networks and newspapers. He is the author of White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement. He has published more than one hundred scholarly and popular articles that have appeared in such journals and newspapers as the American Historical Review, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, New Republic, Washington Monthly, New York Times, Washington Post, Christian Science Monitor, and Los Angeles Times.

Klappentext

With The Keys to the White House, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860-including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection-Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.

Zusammenfassung
Prominent political analyst and historian Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or 'keys' that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. Read this book not only for a surprising look at the electoral process, but also for tips on calling the election in 2008.

Inhalt

Chapter 1 Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work
Chapter 2 Turning the Keys to the Presidency
Chapter 3 Civil War and Reconstruction
Chapter 4 The Gilded Age
Chapter 5 Rise and Fall of Progressivism
Chapter 6 Depression, War, and Cold War
Chapter 7 New Directions, War, and Scandal
Chapter 8 The Reagan Revolution
Chapter 9 A False Dawn for Democrats
Chapter 10 Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics