Probabilistic networks, also known as Bayesian networks and influence diagrams, have become one of the most promising technologies in the area of applied artificial intelligence. This book provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his/her level of understanding. Many of the techniques and methods presented have been developed and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Inhalt
Fundamentals.- Networks.- Probabilities.- Probabilistic Networks.- Solving Probabilistic Networks.- Model Construction.- Eliciting the Model.- Modeling Techniques.- Data-Driven Modeling.- Model Analysis.- Conflict Analysis.- Sensitivity Analysis.- Value of Information Analysis.