This book addresses six key factors that will affect environmental policies in the Mediterranean region during the next fifty years: population growth, climate change, soil erosion and desertification, water scarcity, food production, and urbanization and pollution. The authors assess these as potential sources of violent conflict. The interdisciplinary approach makes this a relevant and useful reference for a broad range of professionals, specialists and researchers.

Inhalt

Foreword.- Section I Environment Security.- Environmental Security and Human Security.- Section II Climate Change, Scenarios and Modelling.- Solar Variability and Climate Change.- Qualitative-quantitative scenarios as a means to support sustainability-oriented regional planning.- Climate change and the occurrence of extremes: some implications for the Mediterranean Basin.- Regional IPCC Projections until 2100 in the Mediterranean Area.- Section III Desertification Impacts.- Desertification in the Maghreb: A Case Study of an Algerian High-Plain Steppe.- Prospects for Desertification Impacts for Egypt and Libya.- Prospective Desertification Trends In The Negev - Implications For Urban And Regional Development.- The Prospects of the Impact of Desertification on Turkey, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq.- Prospects for desertification impacts in Southern Europe.- Section IV Water Availability.- From Water Scarcity to Water Security in the Maghreb Region: The Moroccan Case.- Water Scarcity Prospects in Egypt 2000 - 2050.- Water worries in Jordan and Israel: What may the future hold?.- In the long term, will there be water shortage in Mediterranean Europe?.- Section V population Growth.- Implications of Population Decline for the European Union (2000-2050).- Population Growth in The Euro-Mediterranean Region.- Section VI Food Prospects.- Food Trade of the Mediterranean Countries in a World Context: Prospects to 2030.- Food Security Prospects in the Maghreb.- EU Agriculture and Common Agricultural Policy: Prospects for the 21st Century and Implications for Mediterranean Countries.- Section VII Urbanisation.- Urban Change in Cairo.- Implications of Urbanization for Turkey. The Case of Istanbul.- Section VIII Pollution.- The Pollution of the Mediterranean: Present State and Prospects.- Editor.