The last decades have witnessed major progress in both monetary policy theory and practice, with broad academic consensus on the desirability of monetary policy rules and ongoing research on their exact specification. Typically, the analysis is carried out in a New Keynesian framework with nominal rigidities and constant capital stock. The latter represents a constraint that this study seeks to overcome by introducing a model with investment and capital adjustment costs. The work assesses different interest-rate rule specifications with respect to the target variables included, based on two criteria: determinacy of rational-expectations equilibrium and convergence to steady state after a shock. The study concludes that rules with both an inflation and an output gap target ensure a unique rational-expectations equilibrium and a less distressful adjustment of the economy after the occurrence of shocks.

Autorentext

Elena Pavlova studied Economics at the University of National and World Economy in Sofia. During her studies, she joined as a Researcher the Centre for Economic Development, a leading economic policy think tank in Bulgaria. In 2004-2008 she was a Teaching and Research Assistant at the Institute for Theoretical Economics at the Helmut Schmidt University Hamburg. Since 2008 the author works as an Economist at the European Commission in Brussels.

Inhalt

Contents: Monetary Policy Design - Criteria for Assessing Monetary Policy Rules - Local Determinacy of Rational-expectations Equilibrium - Monetary Policy Analysis - The Taylor Principle - A New Keynesian Model with Endogenous Capital and Adjustment Costs - Modelling Capital and Investment - Shock Impulse Responses.