This book comprehensively presents the basic concepts of probability and Bayesian inference with sufficient generality to make them applicable to current problems in scientific research.The first chapter provides the fundamentals of probability theory that are essential for the analysis of random phenomena. The second chapter includes a full and pragmatic review of the Bayesian methods that constitute a natural and coherent framework with enough freedom to analyze all the information available from experimental data in a conceptually simple manner. The third chapter presents the basic Monte Carlo techniques used in scientific research, allowing a large variety of problems to be handled difficult to tackle by other procedures. The author also introduces a basic algorithm, which enables readers to simulate samples from simple distribution, and describes useful cases for researchers in particle physics.The final chapter is devoted to the basic ideas of Information Theory, which are important in the Bayesian methodology.

This highly readable book is appropriate for graduate-level courses, while at the same time being useful for scientific researches in general and for physicists in particular since most of the examples are from the field of Particle Physics.

Autorentext
Carlos Mana is a staff research scientist at the Basic Research Department of CIEMAT (Madrid).
He received his PhD at the Universidad Autónoma in Madrid in 1985 and spent several years in DESY (Hamburg) and CERN (Geneva) doing research in experimental and phenomenological particle physics. He has been lecturing on Probability and Statistics at the PhD program of the Department of Theoretical Physics at the Universidad Complutense (Madrid) and his main research interest is in the field of Fundamental Physics.

Inhalt

Preface.- Probability.- Bayesian Inference.- Monte Carlo Methods.- Information Theory.