This textbook presents an introduction to the use of probability in physics, treating introductory ideas of both statistical physics and of statistical inference, as well the importance of probability in information theory, quantum mechanics, and stochastic processes, in a unified manner. The book also presents a harmonised view of frequentist and Bayesian approaches to inference, emphasising their complementary value. The aim is to steer a middle course between the "cookbook" style and an overly dry mathematical statistics style. The treatment is driven by real physics examples throughout, but developed with a level of mathematical clarity and rigour appropriate to mid-career physics undergraduates. Exercises and solutions are included.

Autorentext

Andy Lawrence is the Regius Professor of Astronomy at the University of Edinburgh. His research interests are in Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN), observational cosmology, survey astronomy, and e-science (the Virtual Observatory). He has been teaching an undergraduate course on Probability in Physics with a new angle. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh and author of the Springer book Astronomical Measurement.

Inhalt

Part I: The Basics.- Randomness and Probability.- Distributions, Moments, and Errors.- Part II: Frequency Distributions in the Physical World.- Counting the Ways: Arrangements and Subsets.- Counting Statistics: Binomial and Poisson Distributions.- Combining Many Factors: The Gaussian Distribution.- Distributions Arising from Random Processes in Time.- Part III: Probabilistic Inference: Reasoning in the Presence of Uncertainty.- Hypothesis Testing.- Parameter Estimation.- Inference With Two Variables: Correlation Testing and Line Fitting.- Model Fitting.- Part IV: Selected Topics.- Information, Uncertainty, and Surprise.- Erratic Time Series.- Probability in Quantum Physics.- Entropy, Complexity, and the Arrow of Time.- Solutions.