Bernoulli's Fallacy

Auteur
Aubrey Clayton is a mathematician who teaches the philosophy of probability and statistics at the Harvard Extension School. He holds a PhD from the University of California, Berkeley, and his writing has appeared in the New York Times, Nautilus, and the Boston Globe.

Résumé
Aubrey Clayton traces the history of the flaw that underlies modern statistics, beginning with the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli's Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data-and how to fix it.

Contenu
Preface
Acknowledgments
Introduction

1. What Is Probability?
2. The Titular Fallacy
3. Adolphe Quetelet's Bell Curve Bridge
4. The Frequentist Jihad
5. The Quote-Unquote Logic of Orthodox Statistics
6. The Replication Crisis/Opportunity
7. The Way Out
   Notes
   Bibliography
   Index