Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis

PROFITING FROM THE WORLD'S ECONOMIC CRISIS

In Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis, author Bud Conrad, Chief Economist for Casey Research, predicts a rough road ahead for us--due to economic imbalances that have built up over the past decade--but reveals how you can prosper during these difficult times by tracking global market trends and finding investment opportunities that match those trends.

With this book, Conrad outlines the long-term direction of our economy as driven by increasing U.S. government and trade deficits, oil prices, Social Security and Medicare obligations for baby boomers, the credit crisis, and the weakening dollar. He also examines why some of the government's actions--such as bailing out banks and curbing interest rates--fail to address more serious, long-term issues such as too much debt.

The crisis we have entered is not a typical business recession, but, instead, a major deleveraging which is the biggest shift since the Great Depression. The stagflation of the U.S. economy will present great challenges on a global scale. And since no market travels in a straight line, you need to be positioned correctly, with the right investments, to protect yourself and profit from the twists and turns you'll inevitably face in today's turbulent economic environment.

Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis deftly addresses how to gain your financial footing during these difficult times by highlighting global investment opportunities--such as gold, interest rates, currency, and commodities--that are likely to help you profit in the coming years.

Visit www.caseyresearch.com

Auteur

BUD CONRAD is the Chief Economist at Casey Research and has been a futures investor for twenty-five years, as well as a full-time investor for more than a decade. He holds an MBA from Harvard and an electrical engineering degree from Yale. Conrad has held positions with IBM, CDC, Amdahl, and Tandem. His comprehensive picture of the world's economy, based on a career of using long-term fundamental analysis, enables him to explain how this crisis arose and where it will evolve to. He uses insights learned from his engineering training to interpret how investment cycles affect our economy. He served as a local board member of the National Association for Business Economics and taught graduate courses in investing at Golden Gate University. A popular speaker, Conrad has delivered talks in New Zealand, Dubai, New York, Vancouver, Denver, Phoenix, Las Vegas, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Chicago. He has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business News, New Zealand 3news, and has commented in many publications from the Wall Street Journal to Reuters.

Texte du rabat
PROFITING FROM THE WORLD'S ECONOMIC CRISIS In Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis, author Bud Conrad, Chief Economist for Casey Research, predicts a rough road ahead for us—due to economic imbalances that have built up over the past decade—but reveals how you can prosper during these difficult times by tracking global market trends and finding investment opportunities that match those trends. With this book, Conrad outlines the long-term direction of our economy as driven by increasing U.S. government and trade deficits, oil prices, Social Security and Medicare obligations for baby boomers, the credit crisis, and the weakening dollar. He also examines why some of the government's actions—such as bailing out banks and curbing interest rates—fail to address more serious, long-term issues such as too much debt. The crisis we have entered is not a typical business recession, but, instead, a major deleveraging which is the biggest shift since the Great Depression. The stagflation of the U.S. economy will present great challenges on a global scale. And since no market travels in a straight line, you need to be positioned correctly, with the right investments, to protect yourself and profit from the twists and turns you'll inevitably face in today's turbulent economic environment. Profiting from the World's Economic Crisis deftly addresses how to gain your financial footing during these difficult times by highlighting global investment opportunities—such as gold, interest rates, currency, and commodities—that are likely to help you profit in the coming years. Visit www.caseyresearch.com

Contenu
Acknowledgments ix

Introduction xi

PART ONE ECONOMIC FORCES 1

Chapter 1 The Budget Deficit Drives the Growth of All Debt 3

Chapter 2 The Trade Deficit and U.S. Dependency on Foreign Investments 27

Chapter 3 The Big Costs of Health Care, Social Security, and the Military 63

PART TWO FINANCIAL CRISIS RESPONSE 75

Chapter 4 The Federal Reserve Prints Our Money (Stop the Presses!) 77

Chapter 5 The Importance of Debt for Predicting Our Economy 115

Chapter 6 The Big-Picture Model of Our Economy 139

PART THREE RECESSION OR DEPRESSION? 157

Chapter 7 What Can the 1929 Great Depression Teach Us about Today's Crisis? 159

Chapter 8 What the United States Can Learn from Japan's Lost Decade(s): 19892009 183

Chapter 9 What the United States Can Learn from German and Other European Hyperinflations, and from China Today 211

PART FOUR INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES 227

Chapter 10 The Stock Market May Be Dead for Another Decade 229

Chapter 11 Energy in the 21st Century: The End of the Petroleum Age 241

Chapter 12 Food, Grain Trading 261

Chapter 13 The Demise of the Dollar 273

Chapter 14 Interest Rates: The Trade of the Decade 299

Chapter 15 Gold Is the Only Real Money 325

PART FIVE PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER 367

Chapter 16 Forecast for the Future 369

Chapter 17 Looking Over the Horizon to See the Best Investments 385

List of Tables and Figures 421

About the Author 429

Index 431