Demographic Change and Economic Development

In recent years, population economics has become increasingly popular in both economic and policy analysis. For the inquiry into the long term development of an economy, the interaction between demographic change and economic activity cannot be neglected without omitting major aspects of the problems. This volume helps to further developments in theoretical and applied demographical economics covering the issues of demographic change and economic development. The interaction between demographic change and economic development in the long run is one central issue. One conjecture is that it is mainly the relative population pressure which controls the pace of economic development. However, econometric evidence presented in the book does not support this hypothesis. Other papers deal with the relationships between fertility and business cycle fluctuations, the timing of births, the efficiency in intergenerational transfers, the role of open economies for the population issue, historical perspectives of demographic change in Hungary and an outline of recent developments of applied modelling using input-output models, programming models or econometric techniques.

Auteur
Prof. Dr. Klaus F. Zimmermann ist Direktor des Instituts zur Zukunft der Arbeit (IZA) und zugleich Präsident des Deutschen Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW Berlin).

Contenu
I: Theoretical Studies on Economic Change and Demographic Development.- I,1: Macroeconomic Models.- Malthusian Crises, Boserupian Escapes and Longrun Economic Progress.- Endogenous Fluctuations in the Barro-Becker Theory of Fertility.- Mortality Changes and their Economic Consequences, with Particular Reference to Cause of Death.- I,2 Policy Issues.- Market Failure, Population Growth and Government Intervention in a Life-Cycle Growth Model.- Capital Accumulation and Population Growth in Two Sector Closed and Open Economies.- Population Drag and the Role of the International Sector.- I,3 Microeconomic Models.- The Timing of Births: A Theory of Fertility, Family Expenditures and Labour Market Participation Over Time.- Equilibrium and Efficiency in Intergenerational Transfers.- II: Applied Studies on Economic Change and Demographic Development.- II,1: The Case of Hungary: A Historical Perspective.- Economic Change and Family Size in Hungarian Historical Demography.- Demographic Change and Economic Development in Hungary Since the Second World War.- II,2: Issues of Developing Countries.- A Case for Some Simple Analytics of Demographic Change and Economic Development.- Monetary Methods of Estimating Informal Activities in Developing Countries.- Interaction Between Macro-Economic Activities and Demographic Changes in Selected Developing Countries.- II,3: Demographic Economic Models.- An Extension of a Static Input-Output Model for Demographic Economic Analysis.- Consumption, Savings and Demography.- A Flexible Programming Model to Study Problems of Population Economics.