Future Scenarios on Dental Health Care

Which developments can be expected to take place in the dental health of the Dutch population in the decades to come, and what are the influential factors? What effects might the changing supply of dental professionals, the additional substitution of responsibilities from dentists to dental hygienists and the possible reforms in health care insurance have on the nation's oral status? These are some of the central questions discussed in this report by the Scenario Committee and the research group. For this purpose, the Committee developed a computer simulation model of dental health care which was used to analyze future scenarios.
The future scenarios described in this report clearly show that a number of crucial decisions must be taken if dental health care is to remain accessible and available for all sections of the population in the future.

Inhalt

Preface. Part I: Scenario Report Future Scenarios on Dental Health Care: A Reconnaissance of the Period 1990--2020. 1. Introduction. 2. The Committee's Working Methods. 3. Research Method. 4. Future Developments in Dental Health Care. 5. Scenarios on Dental Health Care. 6. Recapitulation. Literature. Part II: Background Report Future Scenarios on Dental Health Care: Model Construction and Validation. 1. Introduction. 2. The Population Model. 3. The Attendance Model. 4. The Caries Model. 5. The Periodontal Model. 6. The Supply Model. 7. The Treatment Model. Literature. Appendix 3.I. A Summary of Data Regarding Edentates. Appendix 3.II. Data Concerning Attendance Behavior. Appendix 3.III. Determining the Attendance Frequencies. Appendix 6.I. Data Concerning the Supply Model.